Jose Abreu
Jose Abreu
34-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Chicago White Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Abreu has been a very consistent run producer in his time with the South Siders. Outside of his injury-impacted 2018 season, he has always hit for a high average and driven in plenty of runs, and 2020 was no different. Abreu earned American League MVP honors after leading a resurgent White Sox lineup, driving in a run per game with either career-best numbers or pacing toward career best levels nearly across the board. His Statcast measures show elite level rankings in exit velocity, barrels, hard-hit rate and all of the expected stats. There is value in the consistency which Abreu brings to the table, but now that consistency is coming on the heels of a huge year. He will once again anchor a talented Chicago lineup, hit his homers and drive in plenty of runs, but there will zero discount on Abreu in 2021, so plan accordingly. He should be viewed as an offensive foundation to build your team around. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#40
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $50 million contract extension with the White Sox in November of 2019.
Ends RBI drought
1BChicago White Sox
April 18, 2021
Abreu went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Saturday's 7-4 loss to the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
White Sox manager Tony La Russa switched Abreu (fourth) and Yoan Moncada (third) in the batting order from the spots they held all season, and the move paid off immediately. After Adam Eaton and Moncada walked in the first inning, Abreu plated Eaton with a double and Moncada came in on a groundout. Abreu had gone seven consecutive games without a run batted in.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+55%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .995 244 35 14 52 0 .339 .398 .597
Since 2019vs Right .830 766 98 40 141 3 .275 .324 .506
2021vs Left .964 11 1 1 4 0 .300 .364 .600
2021vs Right .623 53 4 1 6 1 .186 .321 .302
2020vs Left .950 51 7 4 17 0 .277 .333 .617
2020vs Right 1.026 202 36 15 43 0 .339 .386 .640
2019vs Left 1.009 182 27 9 31 0 .360 .418 .591
2019vs Right .772 511 58 24 92 2 .257 .299 .472
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+41%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .901 474 56 23 82 0 .304 .361 .540
Since 2019Away .841 531 77 31 108 3 .277 .324 .517
2021Home .546 26 1 0 0 0 .150 .346 .200
2021Away .770 38 4 2 10 1 .242 .316 .455
2020Home .957 113 16 8 22 0 .321 .363 .594
2020Away 1.057 135 27 11 35 0 .328 .385 .672
2019Home .905 335 39 15 60 0 .309 .361 .544
2019Away .769 358 46 18 63 2 .262 .302 .467
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Stat Review
How does Jose Abreu compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
15.6%
 
K Rate
34.4%
 
BABIP
.300
 
ISO
.151
 
AVG
.208
 
OBP
.328
 
SLG
.358
 
OPS
.687
 
wOBA
.310
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.8%
 
Barrels/PA
1.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Abreu
MLB Betting: Sunday Best Bets
7 days ago
Dan Marcus likes German Marquez and the underdog Rockies in his best bets for Sunday.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
7 days ago
Dan Marcus says Marcus Stroman may not be the flashiest pitcher today, but he's about as safe as it comes facing the Marlins.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
7 days ago
WIth a superior record at home and versus righties, Chris Morgan likes Max Kepler to produce against Chris Flexen and the Mariners.
The Z Files: The Fallacy of Stabilization and an Early Look at Home Runs
8 days ago
Todd Zola offers some thoughts on early-season trends, including the home run surge led by Nick Castellanos and the Reds.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Tatis to Miss Time
11 days ago
Jeff Stotts summarizes the lastest MLB injuries, starting with the Padres' Fernando Tatis, who will likely miss time because of a left shoulder subluxation.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
Abreu has been an underrated model of consistency through his first six seasons in the majors, playing at least 145 games and batting at least .280 with 25-plus home runs and 100-plus RBI in all but one of those years. Thanks in part to good health and breakouts from Tim Anderson and Yoan Moncada, Abreu established a new career high with 123 RBI, making him the surprise AL leader in the category. Though the 33-year-old Abreu has now reached the point where power-oriented first base/DH types often begin to tail off, his 2019 batting profile doesn't sound any major alarms. His walk (5.2%) and strikeout (21.9%) rates were roughly in line with his career marks, and his hard-hit (40.7%) and barrel (12.8%) rates were actually personal highs. After reupping with the Pale Hose on a three-year deal this offseason, Abreu should be a good bet to once again finish as a top-10 fantasy first baseman.
In mid-August, Abreu appeared primed to make history as just the third player ever to hit 25 homers and drive in 100 runs in five consecutive seasons to begin his big-league career (joining Albert Pujols and Joe DiMaggio). Unfortunately, a lower-abdominal/groin issue required surgery and he only made it back for six games in September before a thigh infection put him right back on the shelf. While he didn't quite reach those lofty thresholds, Abreu still had a solid season by any standard. It wasn't quite what we'd seen from Abreu in the past -- his 114 wRC+ was a career low and he lost close to 40 points of batting average -- but the production was still plenty valuable. The strikeout rate ticked up a little and it's probably unwise to expect Abreu to get back to .300, but he should still be an easy plus in that category and three others. First base as a whole fell off in 2018 and Abreu is a clear top-10 option at the position.
When the White Sox signed Abreu as an international free agent before the 2014 season, their expectation was that they had found a steady middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come. Through four seasons, he's lived up to the hype, but his 2017 campaign was his best since his debut, as he eclipsed the .900 OPS mark for the second time in his career. Across the board, he nearly matched his career slash line (.301/.359/.524), with a slight increase in his slugging percentage (.552) thanks to 33 homers and a career-high 43 doubles. In addition to driving in 100 runs for the fourth time in his career, Abreu scored a career-best 95 runs on a team that ranked in the bottom-third of the category. As the rebuilding effort continues on the south side of Chicago, Abreu will remain a cornerstone in the lineup. Another .300, 30-homer, 100-RBI season should be within reach, but he's more likely to score 80 runs than 100.
After three seasons, Abreu's name feels as if it has more value than his actual numbers. His 2014 season was outstanding, and 2015 was pretty good as well, but 2016 feels like a disappointment. Sure, he drove in 100 runs, taking advantage of the opportunities provided to him and hit .293. Yet, in a year where many were hitting 20-plus homers, Abreu hit 25 despite missing only three games all year. His Isolated Power and HR/FB ratio has declined each season he has been in the majors. His GB/FB rate has always been high, but he got away with it when he was hitting one out of every four or five flyballs out of the yard. Last season, that fell to one in every six flyballs which caps his power upside. All the pieces are there, but he has to get more distance on his batted balls to get back to the 30-homer plateau.
With a 30-home run, 101-RBI campaign in 2015, Abreu joined Albert Pujols as the only players to hit at least 30 home runs and accumulate 100 RBI in each of their first two seasons. Of course, Abreu was 27 when he made his major league debut and Pujols was 21, but the feat emphasizes the fact that Abreu landed stateside as an elite hitter in his prime. Abreu was consistent all season long, generally hitting five home runs per month and batting somewhere between .274 and .304. He struggled against lefties in 2015 (.658 OPS), but that split was 1.098 in 2014. So while perhaps a vulnerability was indeed exposed, we can still expect a slight rebound in 2016. Heading into 2016, he profiles as the team’s starting first baseman and No. 3 hitter, and as 2015 proved, he can still put up stats without a stellar supporting cast.
Things could not have gone much better for Abreu in his first MLB season. The Cuban expat entered the year with some questions about whether his swing would hold up to advanced pitching, but Abreu displayed an advanced work ethic that made the transition nearly seamless. He raced to 29 home runs before making the AL All-Star squad, and finished his Rookie of the Year campaign leading the majors with a .581 slugging percentage. He proved himself to be more than just a slugger in the second half, hitting .350 after the break. He swings more than you would like and misses more than he should, so it would not be a surprise to see his average suffer a bit in 2015 if he can not sustain his .356 BABIP. However, his power should continue to rank him in the upper echelon of AL first basemen in 2015, and he should have a spot in the heart of the White Sox's order for several years to come.
Abreu enters 2014 as one of the bigger mysteries of the season. The newest Cuban superstar to make the trek to MLB is a bit different than the other recent players to defect. He is less athletic than Yasiel Puig and Yoenis Cespedes, and he is also quite a bit older than Puig and a year older than Cespedes was upon his arrival two seasons ago. However, Abreu does come to the states with more alleged raw power. He hit 37 home runs in back-to-back Cuban seasons, and he hit .342/.457/.621 over 799 career games in that league. The scouting reports vary in terms of how those numbers will translate to the big leagues, and some question how he will fare against major league breaking balls. He excelled in the 2013 World Baseball Classic with three home runs and a 1.145 OPS in 25 at-bats. The variance on his projections will likely be great, but he should be projected to start at first and bat somewhere in the middle-third of the White Sox's lineup.
Abreu set the single-season mark for home runs at 33 in 2010-11 in the Serie Nationale - the top professional league in Cuba - and was named the league's MVP
More Fantasy News
Hits second grand slam of season
1BChicago White Sox
April 7, 2021
Abreu went 1-for-4 with a grand slam and an additional RBI in Tuesday's 10-4 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Hits granny Friday
1BChicago White Sox
April 3, 2021
Abreu went 2-for-4 with a home run, four RBI and second run scored in Friday's 12-8 win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to fill in for Jimenez
1BChicago White Sox
March 29, 2021
Abreu went 1-for-3 with a stolen base and an RBI in Sunday's spring game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Delivers two knocks in debut
1BChicago White Sox
March 3, 2021
Abreu went 2-for-3 with a double, an RBI and a run scored in Tuesday's Cactus League game against Texas.
ANALYSIS
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May play Tuesday
1BChicago White Sox
March 2, 2021
White Sox manager Tony La Russa said Abreu may make his spring debut Tuesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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