FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

Although 11 games are on tap for Monday, the majority of playable contests are in FanDuel's six-game offering that tips off at 6:00 p.m. EST. Today's article will focus only on that slate.

SLATE OVERVIEW

MIL (-3.5) @ ATL O/U: 229.5

ORL (-0.5) vs. POR O/U: 215

MIA (-3.5) vs. TOR O/U: 209

DAL (-10) vs. OKC O/U: 207.5

PHO (-4) @ SAS O/U: 224.5

UTA (-4.5) @ LAL O/U: 232.5

The injury report is as thin as we've seen it in months, so while there aren't many game-time decisions, it's always important to keep an eye on late developments. There is almost always an unexpected scratch or two due to the health and safety protocols.

The UTA/LAL and MIL/ATL games represent tonight's best DFS value. Despite the low over/under total, I like the depressed salaries of a few Toronto players against Miami. The OKC/DAL game is essentially a fade.

INJURIES

MIL Jrue Holiday (ankle) - OUT

Grayson Allen ($4,600) and Donte DiVincenzo ($3,800) will continue to be the top two pivots for Holiday during his absence.

ATL Clint Capela (ankle) - OUT

ATL Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) - OUT

Onyeka Okongwu ($4,300) is my favorite pivot for Capela, and Kevin Huerter ($5,400) is an appealing pivot in Bogdanovic's absence.

POR Norman Powell (COVID-19 Protocols) - QUESTIONABLE

POR Larry Nance (knee) - OUT

CJ McCollum's return will make things interesting in the Portland rotation, but you can probably still roster Ben McLemore ($5,200), who is versatile enough to slide to the three if Powell stays out. 

ORL Wendell Carter (hamstring) - OUT

In Carter's absence, Chuma Okeke ($5,000) should be the top beneficiary.

MIA Bam Adebayo (thumb) - QUESTIONABLE

MIA Kyle Lowry (personal) - OUT

We may see Adebayo back as soon as this evening, but it's a near certainty that the team will bring Bam along slowly, making a clear pivot uncertain at this position. With Lowry out, Gabe Vincent ($5,000) will move up in the rotation.

PHO Deandre Ayton (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

PHO Cameron Johnson (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

The severity of Ayton's ankle injury is unknown, but JaVale McGee ($4,900) will be the obvious pivot if he misses time.

UTA Hassan Whiteside (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

The Jazz have Rudy Gobert back, but without Whiteside, we may see a bit more of Udoka Azubuike ($3,500).

LAL Carmelo Anthony (back) - QUESTIONABLE

If Anthony can't go, we should see increased time for Trevor Ariza ($3,900) and Austin Reaves ($3,800).

ELITE PLAYERS 

With one of the highest projected game totals on the slate, Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) looks to be a wise investment against the Hawks, and we should probably expect a similar result for LeBron James ($11,200), who is playing in the game with the highest projected total against the Jazz. I would endorse Giannis over LeBron, however. James' ability to beat value is certainly there, but $11,200 is a season-high salary that might be tough to fit in.

We are sliding past the Toronto elites as we plan to attack their roster a bit differently, at which point we fall to Jimmy Butler ($9,100). The total against Toronto isn't great, but with Lowry out and the Heat taking it slowly with Adebayo, Butler is finally back in a spot where an upside total is possible. 

Also consider: Luka Doncic, DAL ($10,400) vs. OKC

EXPECTED CHALK AND CORE TARGETS 

Donovan Mitchell, UTA ($8,100) @ LAL

This is the Jazz's first matchup against the Lakers, and it will be interesting to see the end result. While Utah's defense will be the most intriguing aspect of the matchup, we shouldn't discount the Jazz's ability to put points on the board. Mitchell and Gobert are at full health, and they usually improve when both of them are on the court. Mitchell has been lights out over his past four games, averaging 28.8 points, 5.3 assists, 3.8 rebounds and 1.5 steals.

Devin Booker, PHO ($8,100) @ SAS

Even though this is a back-to-back road game for the Suns and a long trip from Detroit, Booker only played 30 minutes against the Pistons and had an outstanding game. Booker hasn't experienced a back-to-back since late November, and he posted more than 30 points on both ends, so even though he hasn't had a quick turnaround in some time he's playing too well to pass up at this salary. The back-to-back might also result in a scratch for Chris Paul, and I'd like Booker even more in that scenario.

Jusuf Nurkic, POR ($7,500) @ ORL

Wendell Carter is out for Orlando, and although Mo Bamba is back, CJ McCollum is also suiting up for this game, and he adds one more player who can dish the ball inside. As I've said numerous times, Nurkic offers the team its best chance to take their campaign to the next level, and Damian Lillard's output needs to be absorbed by a group effort for the Blazers to stay competitive. Although he's been up and down, Nurkic's last game was a huge 23/14 double-double, which was his fifth in seven games. Portland hasn't played Orlando yet, but Nurkic should stack up well against them.

Josh Giddey, OKC ($6,500) @ DAL

We'll once again slide to Giddey, as I think Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at $8,400 is a bit too expensive for my taste. You could certainly go in that direction, but the $1,900 difference should come close to paying off the point-per-dollar value. Two weeks ago, the Mavericks gifted Giddey one of the best games of his career, a triple-double in a low-scoring affair. 

Also consider: Bobby Portis, MIL ($6,300) @ ATL, Tyler Herro, MIA ($7,300) vs TOR

VALUE PLAYS

My favorite values from the Injuries section are McGee, Allen and Ariza.

OG Anunoby ($6,300) and Scottie Barnes ($5,600), TOR @ MIA

While Fred VanVleet at $9,300 and Pascal Siakam at $9,900 are also viable, Barnes and Anunoby offer immense value at these salaries. Anunoby is having an excellent January, averaging 18.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He's also popped for over 20 points in half of the games he's played this month. Barnes has dealt with a knee injury that has limited his appearances recently, but he is clear of the injury report and has played well after a rest day.

Mo Bamba, ORL ($5,700) vs. POR

Without Wendell Carter, we should see more of Bamba, who will have his work cut out for him against Jusuf Nurkic. After a two-game absence, Bamba came off the bench,  but I expect he will start at the five today and see around 30 minutes. It's been a while since we've seen a run of production like Bamba had at the beginning of the season, and his lack of playing time due to extended stays on the injury report is the primary cause. 

Keldon Johnson, SAS ($4,900) vs. PHO

With Dejounte Murray's salary reaching lofty (albeit justified) levels, getting to the Spurs on the cheap is a sound way to go, especially against a tough Phoenix defense. We wouldn't want to spend too much against one of the league's best teams, but the Suns are on a back-to-back. Johnson's salary is low enough to roll the dice on an upside game, as he will often be the second-highest scorer on the roster.

De'Andre Hunter, ATL ($4,400) vs MIL

I've always been a big fan of Hunter, but injuries have kept us all from using him. With Bogdan Bogdanovic out and Cam Reddish out of the picture, a huge opportunity opens up for Hunter, who will only have to compete with Kevin Huerter to fill this gap.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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