This article is part of our Showdown/Single Game DFS Breakdown series.
Monday night's divisional battle between the Lions and Packers at Lambeau Field has a fairly pedestrian 45.5-point total on FanDuel Sportsbook, with the Packers 3.5-point favorites. Coming off their bye, the Lions are 2-1-1, having defeated the Chargers and Eagles, tying the Cardinals and losing to the Chiefs, while the Packers are 4-1 with wins over the Bears, Broncos, Cowboys and Vikings while losing to the Eagles.
Neither team has been particularly dominant on a consistent basis, but both have players who can explode for GPP-winning scores.
In a game that features the 16th all-time leading passer in NFL history against the 22nd, neither quarterback in Monday's game has been particularly prolific this season. Aaron Rodgers ($11,600 DK, $15,500 FD) is the most expensive player on both sites, but he's only thrown for more than 240 yards once in five games while throwing multiple touchdowns just twice. Meanwhile, Matthew Stafford ($9,600 DK, $15,000) has been more productive, throwing for more than 240 years in three of four starts, including three games with multiple touchdowns (two with three). Interestingly, FanDuel's player props continue to favor Rodgers, likely because he's a home favorite, with his passing yards (262.5 to 255.5) and passing touchdowns (over 1.5 -134 vs. -102) outpacing Stafford's odds. Additionally, Rodgers' 36.5 pass attempts prop is higher than all but one game this season, and is also higher than Stafford's 34.5.
There are plenty of ways to read this game to justify either Rodgers or Stafford, but it's entirely