OwnersBox NFL DFS: Week 6 Picks

OwnersBox NFL DFS: Week 6 Picks

This article is part of our DFS NFL series.

OwnersBox's SuperFlex contests provide participants with a chance to roster up to two quarterbacks per lineup, opening up the opportunity for major scoring boosts and more entertaining fantasy sweat overall.

Each week of the NFL regular season, we'll break down multiple appealing candidates for OwnersBox's Sunday slate NFL SuperFlex DFS contests. 

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert, LAC at BAL ($7,800)

Herbert is already an upper-echelon quarterback in his second season, and he's put up tallies of 27 to 51 fantasy points in his last three starts. The second-year signal-caller has an impeccable 11:0 TD:INT over that span, and he's set for what could be a wire-to-wire affair against a vulnerable Ravens defense. Baltimore checks in allowing a robust 296.4 passing yards per game, including 366.5 per home contest.

Baltimore is yielding 7.8 yards per attempt and an 8:3 TD:INT. Herbert has displayed excellent rapport with multiple pass catchers, posting 7.6 yards per attempt while averaging four completions of greater than 20 yards per game in the process. Baltimore has also given up a 74.2 percent completion rate at home, upping Herbert's chances of getting back over the 70.0 percent mark in that category for the first time since Week 2.

Matthew Stafford, LAR at NYG ($7,200)

Stafford has been about as reliable as it gets from a fantasy perspective, scoring at least 20 fantasy points in each of his first five games while also flashing a 40-fantasy-point ceiling. The veteran quarterback has at least one touchdown in each contest, leading to a 12:3 TD:INT clip while averaging a career-high 9.2 yards per attempt. Stafford has a trio of 300-yard efforts, and he has a chance to add another such performance against a middling Giants secondary.

New York has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game on an NFL-high 74.0 percent completion rate and 7.6 yards per attempt. It's also worth noting the G-Men have given up passer ratings well north of 100 in five of the six passing windows, including the short/intermediate middle (opposing QBs: 29-for-36, 305 yards, 3 TDs), an area of the field where Stafford has 224 yards, two touchdowns and zero picks on 25 attempts.

ALSO CONSIDER: Taylor Heinicke, WAS vs. KC ($6,100) 

Running Backs

Najee Harris, PIT vs. SEA ($7,100)

Harris enjoyed his best game on the stat sheet at the expense of a quality Broncos defense in Week 5, rushing for 122 yards on 23 carries and a touchdown. Harris has 18-28 fantasy points in each of his last four games, along with multiple receptions in each of those contests and rushing touchdowns in each of the past two weeks. The Seahawks could well facilitate more of the same Sunday night, considering Seattle checks in allowing an NFC-high 145.2 rushing yards per contest on 4.5 yards per carry.

Seattle has also allowed a 33-314 line through the air to running backs, propping up Harris' prospects in that department. The rookie is averaging 21.2 touches per contest and has played no fewer than 40 snaps in any game, and there's also some synergy between the direction of runs where Harris has enjoyed his most success and where Seattle has been most vulnerable. Harris has averaged 5.7 yards per carry on outside runs to the left and off right guard, along with 5.3 yards per carry on outside runs to the right; meanwhile, the Seahawks have given up 8.1, 4.2 yards and 5.8 yards per attempt on runs against them in those respective areas.

Javonte Williams, DEN vs. LVR ($5,100)

Melvin Gordon is now dealing with a hip injury in addition to rib and lower-leg issues, and although he was able to put in a limited practice Thursday, it appears the veteran is getting more banged up by the week. Meanwhile, the much younger and explosive Williams has been excellent all season and he has averaged 7.3 yards per carry over the last two games. Williams has multiple receptions in three of his first five games and he has an excellent matchup on tap in Week 6.

The Raiders are giving up 4.5 yards per carry to running backs and have already surrendered five touchdowns to the position as well. Las Vegas has yielded a 22-162-2 line through the air to RBs, and Denver's offensive line has facilitated 4.6 RB yards per carry, including the second-most open-field yards (1.2) per tote. Meanwhile, the Raiders defense is ranked in the bottom 10 in open-field yards per carry allowed, setting up the possibility of Williams adding to the two runs of over 20 yards he already has this season with the aid of his 25.9 percent broken-tackle and 71.7 percent yards-after-contact rates.

ALSO CONSIDER: Darrell Henderson, LAR at NYG ($5,900)

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill, KC at WAS ($7,900)

This certainly could be one of the no-brainers of the week, but it still warrants a deeper look. The Chiefs offense will be looking for some redemption after its so-so showing against the Bills in Week 5, and the Washington defense could well be a unit that helps facilitate a bounce-back effort. Washington checks in allowing 293.4 passing yards per game at 7.5 yards per attempt, along with the second-most receptions (80) to wide receivers.  

Washington has also yielded the third-most receiving yards to wideouts (1,036) and is tied with multiple teams for fourth-most receiving touchdowns surrendered (seven). Moreover, Washington has also allowed passer ratings north of 120 in both the deep left and deep middle passing windows of the field, while four of the six targets Patrick Mahomes has sent Hill's way in the deep left part of the field have connected for 126 yards and a touchdown.

Ja'Marr Chase, CIN at DET ($7,000)

Chase seems to be getting better with each passing week after posting a 12-236-1 line on 19 targets in his last pair of contests. The speedster is averaging 13.0 yards per target, 111.8 air yards per game and is drawing 24.6 percent of the team's targets. The Lions certainly shape up as a team that could help Chase continue building on his numbers, as Detroit comes in allowing 291.0 passing yards per home game, along with an NFL-high 10.2 yards per attempt.

The Lions have given up 16.2 yards per reception to receivers, as well as a 69.5 percent catch rate. As the elevated numbers imply, Detroit facilitates plenty of successful deep throws, allowing opposing quarterbacks a combined tally of 19-for-33 for 629 yards and a 3:1 TD:INT in the three deep passing windows of the field. Meanwhile, Chase has been a terror on go routes on either sideline, bringing in eight of 13 targets for 297 yards and four touchdowns in those areas of the field.

Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. KC ($6,700)

McLaurin has drawn 49 targets through five games, and although the efficiency hasn't always been there, he's parlayed those opportunities into a 29-400-3 line that includes six catches of over 20 yards. The speedy wideout has three lackluster outings that have featured tallies of between eight and 10 fantasy points, but he's countered those with efforts of 27 and 30 fantasy points.

The Chiefs have been vulnerable against the pass all season, giving up 296.4 passing  yards per game and 8.9 yards per attempt. Kansas City has surrendered a 53-796-7 line to receivers, while allowing 16 of 21 attempts against them in the short and intermediate middle areas of the field to be completed for 177 yards and a pair of touchdowns. In turn, McLaurin has caught all five of his targets in that portion of the field for 60 yards and a score. 

ALSO CONSIDER: DJ Moore, CAR vs. MIN ($7,000); Diontae Johnson, PIT vs. SEA ($6,000)

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. LAC ($6,000)

Andrews has been one of the primary beneficiaries of Lamar Jackson's recent surge, posting a 21-323-2 line over the last three games. The Pro Bowl tight end has four consecutive double-digit fantasy-point tallies, including a massive 41-point effort in Week 5 on the strength of a 11-147-2 line versus the Colts. Week 6 sets up well for Andrews, as the opposing Chargers have allowed a 30-406-4 line to TEs in the first five games. Andrews has at least five catches in each of the last four contests, while seeing between seven and 13 targets in the last three games. Given what should be a wire-to-wire battle, Andrews will be heavily involved once more.

Tyler Higbee, LAR at NYG ($4,500)

Higbee had a couple of notable performances early on that raised his profile in fantasy circles, but he's been a bit more on the quiet side recently with a 6-50-1 line on eight targets in the last pair of contests. Nevertheless, Higbee has the talent to break out in any contest, and his Week 6 matchup could well facilitate a spike in production. The Giants have been one of the more vulnerable teams against tight ends this season, allowing a 30-293-4 line to the position on 40 targets and a 75.0 percent catch rate.

ALSO CONSIDER: Hunter Henry, DAL at NE ($4,700)

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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