Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
27-Year-Old CenterC
New York Islanders
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Pageau suffered a devastating Achilles injury during the opening days of training camp last fall and was limited to just 39 games as a result. While the center fared well in his return to the ice -- four goals, eight helpers and 83 shots -- it likely won't put him atop most fantasy draft boards. Still, the Ottawa native is capable of reaching the 35-point mark and could be a sneaky depth option for fantasy owners heading into the 2019-20 season. Considering the 26-year-old is entering the final year of his contract, he could also be a trade candidate at the deadline, which would likely see his fantasy value rise. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a six-year contract extension worth $5 million AAV with the Islanders in February of 2020.
Five straight scoreless games
CNew York Islanders
March 26, 2020
Pageau scored goals in his first two games for the Islanders but has since gone five straight without lighting the lamp.
ANALYSIS
The Islanders paid a heavy price when they acquired Pageau from Ottawa for first and second-round picks -- a price that many considered way too high at the time of the trade and will only look worse if the season isn't resumed or if the Islanders don't qualify for the playoffs. The good news is that Pageau signed a six-year, $30 million contract with the club and solidifies the Islanders up the middle, but it's yet another heavy contract for a player that isn't a star and doesn't have a proven track record of performing.
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NHL Stats
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2019 NHL Game Log
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2018 NHL Game Log
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2017 NHL Game Log
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2019–20 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    19:18
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    1:39
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    2:20
  • Average Time On Ice:
    18:00
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    2:56
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    1:33
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2017–18
16:44
1:02
1:59
2018–19
17:51
0:55
2:00
2019–20
19:18
1:39
2:20
2019–20
18:00
2:56
1:33
Islanders Depth Chart
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Islanders Power Play Depth Chart
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84 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Pageau failed to reach 15 goals in either of the past two seasons which didn't bode well for his outlook this upcoming season, but after tearing his Achilles tendon during training camp testing, the center will be lucky to play in 10 contests this year. At 25 years old, it was time for Pageau to prove he was worthy of being a part of Ottawa's long-term future -- how missing the 2018-19 campaign factors into the club's plans likely won't be known until the 2019 offseason.
Pageau took a step back in his second full season with the Senators in 2016-17, tallying 33 points (12 goals, 21 assists) in 82 games after notching 43 points in 2015-16. That decline in production can largely be attributed to the 5-foot-10 pivot’s failure to score a single shorthanded goal last season after potting seven shorties in 2015-16, but therein lies the problem with Pageau as a fantasy asset. The 24-year-old forward is buried on Ottawa’s depth chart behind Kyle Turris and Derick Brassard, and he isn't expected to occupy a spot on either of his team’s power-play units next season, so he’s forced to earn all of his offensive production while at even strength or shorthanded. Pageau is a dependable depth option who could easily produce 35 or so points as well as a strong hit total, but his limited role caps his fantasy upside.
To put it in simple terms, Pageau exploded in the 2015-16 season. Improvement across the board is one thing, but the unheralded pivot set career highs in every category, including establishing himself as a major threat when his team was a man down (seven shorthanded goals). The 2011 fourth-round pick appeared in all 82 contests, registering 19 tallies, 24 assists, a plus-17 rating (best on the roster) and 133 shots on goal. Ordinarily, that would make him a big-time fantasy sleeper entering this year, but Pageau’s stuck on the third line thanks to the arrival of veteran Derick Brassard and the expected healthy return of Kyle Turris (ankle). However, be ready to snatch the 23-year-old off the waiver wire if he finds his way into the top six.
Pageau was a key member of the Senators' second-half surge into the postseason, as he finished his 2014-15 campaign with 10 goals and nine assists in 50 games. A leg injury in the first round of the playoffs resulted in him finishing the season off the ice, but he’s expected to be back at full health for the team's training camp this fall. With a new two-year contract in tow, Pageau is set to see full-time action in Ottawa for the first time in his career, likely serving as the Senators' third-line center. It wouldn't be a surprise if he quietly challenged for a 35-to-40-point season.
Pageau was expected to make a big jump last season after an impressive playoff performance in 2013, but largely disappointed. The center suited up for 28 games in 2013-14, but was only able to muster two goals and 12 PIM over that span. He's still just 21-years-old, but with the Senators in a rebuilding mindset after trading Jason Spezza, 2014-15 could be Pageau's last opportunity to prove his worth to the franchise. He has great speed, and showed the ability to score with six points in 10 games in the playoffs two years ago, so he might be a decent super-sleeper pick in deeper leagues.
Pageau came up for the playoffs at the ripe old age of 20 and proceeded to post impressive numbers with four goals and two assists in 10 playoff games. He'll get a shot to be an every day player in Ottawa to start the year and his great speed could very well keep him in the big league. He's a high risk pick, but there's definitely potential to be found here.
More Fantasy News
Scores in second straight
CNew York Islanders
February 27, 2020
Pageau scored a power-play goal on two shots in Thursday's 3-2 overtime loss to St. Louis.
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In Tuesday's lineup
CNew York Islanders
February 25, 2020
Pageau was able to complete all the necessary paperwork and join the lineup for the Islanders versus the Rangers on Tuesday, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports.
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Questionable for Tuesday
CNew York Islanders
February 24, 2020
Pageau may not be able to play Tuesday versus the Rangers due to immigration delays, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports.
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Locked in for six years
CNew York Islanders
February 24, 2020
Pageau signed a six-year contract extension worth $5 million annually with the Islanders on Monday, Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reports.
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Acquired via trade
CNew York Islanders
February 24, 2020
Pageau was brought in by the Islanders from the Senators on Monday in a swap for a 2020 conditional first-round pick, a 2020 second-round pick and a 2022 conditional third-round pick, Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Sun reports. The third-round pick will only transfer to Ottawa if the Islanders win the Stanley Cup this year.
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