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DraftKings MMA: UFC Hamburg
DraftKings MMA: UFC Hamburg

The UFC heads to Hamburg, Germany for a rare Sunday card, and Jon Litterine is back to break down the key matchups and make his picks.

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Mike Perry    UFC    Welterweight
Perry will take on Donald Cerrone in a welterweight matchup at UFC Denver on Nov. 10, Brett Okamoto of ESPN reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Perry snapped a two-fight losing streak with a split-decision victory over Paul Felder at UFC 226, and has called out Cerrone multiple times. Both fighters prefer a brawling style, with each landing and absorbing more than 4.00 significant strikes per minute. There are more questions about Perry's defense, however, as he has a negative striking differential due to absorbing 4.59 significant strikes per minute. Even in the win over Felder, Perry only landed six more significant strikes than his opponent. Nonetheless, Perry seems to be fighting Cerrone at the right time, as Cerrone has dropped four of his last five fights in the octagon. At the same time, Cerrone is the more experienced and well-rounded fighter, which should cause Perry to enter as a slight betting underdog.
Donald Cerrone    UFC    Lightweight
Cerrone will take on Mike Perry in a welterweight matchup at UFC Denver on Nov. 10, Brett Okamoto of ESPN reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Cerrone is seemingly the more well-rounded fighter of the two, though it's worth noting that Cowboy has dropped four of his last fights. Both of these fighters throw and absorb tremendous volume, with each landing and absorbing more than 4.00 significant strikes per minute. It should be a fan-friendly fight with a very high ceiling for each in terms of fantasy points, but look for Cerrone to enter as a slight betting favorite in a close projected matchup.
Frank Camacho    UFC    Welterweight
Camacho will take on Geoff Neal in a welterweight matchup at UFC 228 on Sept. 8, MMAFighting.com reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Camacho may be just 1-2 in three UFC bouts, but each has won him a post-fight bonus, and it's entirely possible he deserved a better outcome in his last matchup against Drew Dober. The one critique about Camacho's game is that he can be a bit reckless, absorbing more significant strikes per minute (7.62) than he lands (6.56). That type of volume can make for the most exciting fights, as well as a high ceiling in terms of potential fantasy points.
Geoff Neal    UFC    Welterweight
Neal will take on Frank Camacho in a welterweight matchup at UFC 228 on Sept. 8, MMAFighting.com reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Neal impressed Dana White with a quick stoppage in his Contender Series debut, and was equally impressive in his first official UFC fight, stopping Brian Camozzi via first-round submission. The UFC won't risk bringing along the 27-year-old too fast, however, as they'll match him up against a fighter in Camacho who has just three fights with the company (1-2). Neal will enter as the younger fighter with slight height and reach advantages.
Darren Stewart    UFC    Light Heavyweight
Stewart will take on Charles Byrd in a middleweight matchup at UFC 228 on Sept. 8, MMAFighting.com reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Stewart finally got back into the win column in May, though a win over Eric Spicely is not necessarily something to write home about. That had likely been his last leg after a three-fight losing streak, and he'll again have to prove he belongs against Byrd, a product of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series. Stewart is the younger fighter with slight height and reach advantages, though Byrd has been able to negate those in his other matchups by keeping the fight in close. Stewart will want to avoid this, because it will lead to Byrd executing his opportunistic submission game. In each of Stewart's last two losses, he has been defeated via choke -- one guillotine and one RNC.
Charles Byrd    UFC    Middleweight
Byrd will take on Darren Stewart in a middleweight matchup at UFC 228 on Sept. 8, MMAFighting.com reports.

Fantasy Analysis

Byrd had to prove himself twice on Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series, and his first official UFC fight ended in the same result -- a quick finish. He'll now draw a more experienced opponent in the 27-year-old Stewart, albeit one that has just a single victory in five UFC bouts. Byrd is a bit undersized for a middleweight, standing at 5-10 with a 73-inch reach, but won't necessarily be conceding a major size advantage to Stewart, making this a good matchup. Byrd will likely lean on his grappling, as he's picked up his most wins by submission, and Stewart has tapped twice in his last three fights.
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