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Breel Embolo, SUI v. TUR ($7,300): A lot of people will look to Italy because of their dominance, but Switzerland have a higher implied goal total and are more in need of a win. Italy could rotate a few of their players and still finish first in the group with a draw against Wales, and that would also allow Wales to finish second. I'm hoping some people will be off Embolo after finishing in the negative against Italy, but I'll chalk that up as a bad matchup. He was awesome against Wales with six shots and a couple chances created, and Turkey's back line has been worse. Embolo doesn't have set pieces, but he has better odds to score than both Domenico Berardi ($10,000) and Lorenzo Insigne ($9,800), while teammate Haris Seferovic ($6,500) actually has the best odds on the slate. Seferovic is worth a look because he's cheaper, but he's more likely to be subbed off early and Embolo is just a better overall player.
Lorenzo Insigne, ITA v. WAL ($9,800): I wasn't going to write about the Italian forwards, but it's a must on this two-game slate. In addition to Gareth Bale ($8,300) and Co. being GPP or nothing, I have no faith in Burak Yilmaz ($6,900) to finally hit the back of the net. Insigne